A Smart Bear: On Metrics
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The Elephant in the room: The myth of exponential hypergrowthEven Facebook and Slack did not grow “exponentially,” as frequently described. Here is the correct model that you can use to understand and affect growth. —March 2022 | 5,600 words.
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Fermi ROI: Fixing the ROI rubricTraditional rubrics fail to reveal the best answers, or how to explain those answers to others. After explaining why, the following system solves both failures. —June 2022 | 4,700 words.
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Product/Market Fit (PMF): Experience & DataCompanies that achieve Product/Market Fit – both self-funded and VC-funded – exhibit the same prototypical metrics curves and subjective experiences. —November 2023 | 2,400 words.
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How annual pre-pay creates an infinite marketing budgetDozens of founders have used this technique to transform the cash-flow of their businesses. Now it’s your turn. —July 2024 | 2,500 words.
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Binstack: Making a maximal multi-dimensional decisionBinstack is a technique for selecting the “single most impactful” solution when there are multiple, incomparable dimensions to evaluate. —July 2022 | 3,400 words.
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Selecting the right product metrics (KPIs)A novel system for selecting and presenting product KPIs, satisfying not only the product team, but also stakeholders, executives, and customers. —July 2023 | 2,600 words.
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No wait, of course THAT is the single most important SaaS metricIs it LTV? Retention? NRR? Magic Number? Rule of 40? Or: Do you need to un-ask the question. —November 2024 | 1,000 words.
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SSEBITDA – A steady-state profit metric for SaaS companiesHow can a business that is “spending to grow” determine whether it’s truly profitable underneath all that “revenue acceleration?” Here’s a way. —April 2025 | 1,800 words.
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Metrics that cannot even be measured in retrospectSome of the most enticing, important metrics are impossible to measure, even after the fact. Here’s how to identify and avoid this trap. —October 2023 | 1,800 words.
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Who's lying?A lesson all pilots know: How you must use multiple dials, employing different sources of energy, to report identical data, because some of it is always lying. —February 2022 | 800 words.
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Why I don’t like the LTV metric (LifeTime Value)The LTV metric overcomplicates and misleads. Learn why you should use other SaaS metrics instead. —October 2013 | 1,100 words.
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COC: A new metric for measuring cancellations in SaaS business modelsIntroducing COC: The true cost of cancellations in a scaling SaaS business. —August 2013 | 1,700 words.